Long-range monthly and seasonal outlooks have been operational for many years. However, the extended-range timescale, which sits between the medium to long-range forecasting timescales, has received minimal attention until recently. Our new study aimed to review the potential […]
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In everything we do we have to deal with risks. Knowing about the nature of risks will affect the decisions we make in our day-to-day lives. These risks may change over time: the risk of falling asleep while […]
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New research has assimilated both near-surface soil moisture (SM) observations and total water storage (TWS) observations into a water balance model and shown that using both permits for more accurate water storage estimates. This is the first time […]
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The Australian Energy Market Operator has been relying on private weather forecasters who have been predicting milder conditions than the Bureau of Meteorology, and likely led to the AEMO being under-prepared for the recent weather-related blackouts in South […]
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You’ve probably heard about El Niño, the climate system that brings dry and often hotter weather to Australia over summer. You might also know that climate change is likely to intensify drought conditions, which is one of the […]
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The understanding of matters meteorological was so rudimentary in the early decades of the colonies that until at least 1855, people thought weather systems moved from east to the west. “[People believed] all weather changes were experienced first […]
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Since 1950 many places across Australia have experienced significant decreasing streamflow trends and these places are mostly located in the southeast and southwest of the country. These recent findings, published in the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, […]
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Whenever droughts occur in Australia, our ability to monitor, attribute, forecast and manage them is shown to be insufficient. That is the conclusion of a a new study by Australian researchers undertaken through OzEWEX, and published in the […]
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As a kid growing up in Fiji, a howling cyclone was a chance to stay up late, swap ghost stories and eat specially-made Indian stuffed bread for Darwin meteorologist Angeline Prasad. “You obviously couldn’t sleep, there was wind […]
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New research shows that satellite and model-based methods to estimate near-surface soil moisture both have their relative strengths and weaknesses – but not always in the ways science has assumed. Soil moisture plays a key role in the hydrological cycle and in governing […]
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Meet Ridgy, Enso, Indy, Sam, – the four new national climate dogs that explain the latest science behind the key climate drivers bringing wetter and drier years to Australia’s farms. And while they may look cute, these dogs […]
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Research incubator projects At OzEWEX 2015 the idea was discussed to develop small collaborative projects on the practical topics between Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO and university academics. As a result of that meeting, researchers from the University […]
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New research shows that hydrological model streamflow estimates can be improved be integrating streamflow and satellite soil moisture measurements. The team of scientists from the Netherlands, US and Australia set out to assess the difference in model-derived streamflow estimates when introducing […]
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New research shows that statistical methods developed for seasonal streamflow forecasting can also be used to predict streamflow over shorter times. Good streamflow forecasts allow water management agencies to make better decisions and achieve more efficient water use. Currently, the Australian […]
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While Australia often gets less rain during El Niño conditions, the effect of La Niña conditions is less clear cut. New research has found why. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest ocean-atmospheric coupled mode over the tropical Pacific Ocean, causing an inter-annual oscillation in the climate system […]
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In June 2007, Australia was pummelled by five East Coast Lows. The most significant of them, which struck on June 8-9, is still referred to as the “Pasha Bulker” storm, after the 76,000-tonne bulk carrier that ran aground […]
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Drought models provide practical tools for managers to forecast drought indices which can quantify various aspects of a drought. A new study by Dr Ravinesh Deo and his colleagues shows that wavelet pre-processing of predictor data sets can […]
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As the 1st Edition of the book “Flood Forecasting, A Global Perspective” has just been released, Thomas Adams (UCAR) and Tom Pagano (BoM) [see their bio below], editors, recall how the idea of the book was born and […]
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If you live in southern Australia, you may have noticed it’s been a rather wet couple of months. What you might not realise is the role that the tropical Indian Ocean has played in helping to create this […]
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There have been a few posts on NWP performance lately, and so we thought we’d add our perspective. We’ve been working closely with the Bureau of Meteorology to extend their new 7-day deterministic streamflow forecasting service to an […]
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