Seasonal ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia

Hydrological extremes – such as droughts or floods – can have devastating effects on many aspects of human societies and the natural environment. Skilful forecasts of hydrology and hydrological extremes several months ahead can support decision making in […]

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Re-evaluating hydrological models for a changing climate: a Victorian case study

“[The IPCC working group 1] projects with high confidence an increase in the variability of the water cycle in most regions of the world and under all emissions scenarios…” “Over the 21st century, the total land area subject […]

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Catchments may not recover from drought

The models we use to manage our rivers and groundwater aquifers are not just equations and maths, but are a formalisation of how we think nature behaves in response to droughts and floods. A major, and implicit, assumption […]

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A seven-year lead drought precursor for South Australia

An international research collaboration, led by the Flinders University of South Australia, has revealed a seven-year lag precipitation teleconnection for South Australia. The teleconnection is characterised as a positive 29-season lag correlation between precipitation in South Australia and […]

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Nature has played on a continental scale water-storage seesaw for five decades in Australia

A research team based at the National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training, at the Flinders University of South Australia, recently reported an opposite temporal pattern of terrestrial water storage (TWS) between eastern and western Australia. The researchers […]

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Collaboration the key to understanding the past, present and future of water availability in Victoria

The Victorian Water and Climate Initiative (VicWaCI) is a research collaboration between AWA members the Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning (DELWP), Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO and The University of Melbourne. In December of 2020, the anticipated […]

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Climate change influences river flow

An international research team has demonstrated that climate change, rather than water and land management, plays a crucial role in river flow at a global level. Climate change is affecting the water balance of our planet: influencing the […]

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Understanding trends in water availability across Australia with AWRA-L

Climate change has far reaching implications on the hydrologic cycle impacting agricultural productivity, water resources availability, and increasing flood hazard – but understanding how the hydrologic cycle is changing across Australia is challenging. Many hydrometeorological variables are not […]

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