Seasonal ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia

Hydrological extremes – such as droughts or floods – can have devastating effects on many aspects of human societies and the natural environment. Skilful forecasts of hydrology and hydrological extremes several months ahead can support decision making in […]

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Regional reanalysis for precipitation data over Australia

Rainfall observations are important inputs for hydrometeorological applications. However, preparing a spatially and temporally consistent rainfall dataset is still a challenge because of sparse point measurements. One potentially valuable source of rainfall data with consistent spatial and temporal […]

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Slowing climate change could reverse drying in the subtropics

As the planet warms, subtropical regions of the Southern Hemisphere, including parts of southern Australia and southern Africa, are drying. These trends include major drought events such as Cape Town’s “Day Zero” in 2018. Climate projections suggest this […]

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Forecasting streamflow to 12 months – is it worthwhile?

In 2010, the Bureau offered an operational seasonal streamflow forecast service to the public – probably the first such service in the world to be made publicly accessible.  Users of the seasonal streamflow forecasts have provided positive feedback, […]

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