Explaining historical decreases in flooding

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Across large parts of Australia and the world flood magnitudes have decreased while rainfalls have increased. Our recently published research explains this apparent paradox: soils (or antecedent conditions) are becoming drier before it rains, meaning that, when it […]

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Slowing climate change could reverse drying in the subtropics

ProjectedPrecip_IPCCAR5

As the planet warms, subtropical regions of the Southern Hemisphere, including parts of southern Australia and southern Africa, are drying. These trends include major drought events such as Cape Town’s “Day Zero” in 2018. Climate projections suggest this […]

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Forecasting streamflow to 12 months – is it worthwhile?

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In 2010, the Bureau offered an operational seasonal streamflow forecast service to the public – probably the first such service in the world to be made publicly accessible.  Users of the seasonal streamflow forecasts have provided positive feedback, […]

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